Tag: GA

  • Mid-Sized Ontario Businesses Have An Opportunity To Cut Their GA Costs

    Photo by allanswart/iStock / Getty Images
    Photo by allanswart/iStock / Getty Images

    Last September the Ontario government announced that the Industrial Conservation Initiative (ICI) program will expand to include over 1000 more Ontario businesses. The ICI program was designed for higher usage manufacturers. For high usage manufacturers, it is a way to lower their global adjustment (GA) cost. The GA has ballooned to over $12 Billion per year and represent between 40-60% of a typical electricity bill. When the program was first introduced in 2011 the minimum peak requirement was 5 MW. A few years ago, the minimum was reduced to 3 MW and last October, amid the rising GA cost and backlash from manufactures, the minimum threshold was lowered to 1 MW. For a manufacturing facility, a peak demand of 1 MW usually means their annual cost is over $1,000,000.

     

    HOW DOES IT WORK?

    The ICI program is based on the premise that Ontario must have enough electricity to meet demand at all times. If large consumers of power could be motivated to reduce usage during peak hours, that goal can be achieved. Higher cost generation from peaking plants can be reduced and the possibility of black outs or brown outs reduced.

    A company on the class A rate will be charged (monthly) a percentage (Peak Demand Factor) of the total annual GA based solely on its usage during the 5 coincident peak hours (5CP) of the Ontario system demand from the previous year. In an ideal situation, the company would shut down completely during those 5 hours. Predicting the 5 peak hours however can be challenging. Usually the 5CP occur during the hottest days of the summer… but not always.

     

    WHAT ARE THE BENEFITS?

    Typical savings by switching from class B to class A is 20% of the overall bill.

    There are three possible benefits: (1) A lower GA for the upcoming year based on the Peak Demand Ratio from the previous year (2) A lower Peak Demand Ratio for the following year and (3) reduced usage during peak hours in the current year.

    The first benefit starts July 1st following the opt-in May/June. When the 5 coincident peak hours (5CP) are known, the facility’s Peak Demand Factor can be calculated. Once the hot days of summer are over, there is a high likelihood that the 5CP are established and the Peak Demand Factor can be determined. This is not always the case however. A peak demand hour can occur in the winter as it did in February 2015.

    A simple calculation can be done comparing what GA a facility paid on class B and what GA they would have paid on class A. With this information in hand, a company can decide if they would like to switch from class B to class A. This does not have to be a permanent decision. A company can always decide to switch back to class B the following year (May/June), specifically if the Peak Demand Factor calculation does not work in their favour.

    The benefits can be realized regardless of the electricity usage during the 5CP of the current year. In other words a plant can use electricity without proactively attempting reduce usage and still receive the same benefit.

    The second potential benefit (and potentially a greater effect on the bottom line) occurs when a company proactively manages its electricity usage during possible Peak hours. If a facility can reduce its usage during the 5CP, its Peak Demand Factor for the following year will be much lower, and the company’s GA cost will be reduced the following year. The potential savings could be as much as $500,000 per MW. To realize this benefit requires planning and active management by multiple levels within the organization. Outside resources can provide education and tools to help predict possible peak hours and suggest further ways to reduce usage.

    A third benefit naturally occurs simply by reducing electricity use. During peak hours, the price of electricity typically surges. It is not uncommon for the Hourly Ontario Energy Price (HOEP) to increase from $30/MWh to $3000/MWh. Avoiding these expensive hours can make a significant difference.

     

    HOW TO ENROLL

    To enroll into the program a company must contact their local power utility and switch to Class A. To qualify, the company must have a minimum peak load of 1 MW per hour. The next enrollment deadline is June 15. The class A billing period is annual from July 1 to June 30.

     

    SUMMARY

    A company switching to class A can see substantial cost reduction even if the plant does not actively reduce usage during peak hours.

    Additional savings can be realized by actively managing electricity usage.

    For companies planning to switch to class A, they must complete the enrollment paperwork. The forms are not available until June 1.

    If you want to find out more about the ICI program, class A and the global adjustment contact your local utility representative. To learn more about how to lower your GA costs call your GOenergy contact.

  • Renewable Energy Projects Cancelled

    In the news today…

    “Ontario Government scraps plan for $3.8 Billion in renewable energy projects.” Ontario has had too much electricity generation for years. Wind and Solar projects, combined with a general oversupply of electricity, has led to an ever increasing Global Adjustment(GA). The GA may not go down to a reasonable level in the near future, but maybe it will stop its relentless pace upwards.  

    The same news article quotes the PC, Green, and NDP governments commenting on the Liberal announcement. Also included are comments from The David Suzuki Foundation and the Canadian Wind Energy Association. All have very different views on what generation should be cancelled, how to tackle greenhouse gas reductions and how to improve the electricity situation in Ontario.

    Two weeks ago it was announced that the 8 percent provincial tax on electricity will come off bills in January. This is the same start date that the cap & trade costs will begin to appear on the natural gas bills.

    The full article can be found here:

    https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2016/09/27/ontario-liberals-scrap-plans-for-38-billion-in-renewable-energy-projects.html

  • Peak Electricity Prices Rise in Ontario

    Photo by zhengzaishuru/iStock / Getty Images
    Photo by zhengzaishuru/iStock / Getty Images

    On May 1st time-of-use (TOU) Ontario electricity rates increased with on-peak now at 18 cents per kWh. According to a government spokesperson, the increase is due to a mild winter resulting in lower usage. Not a very good message to electricity users that are already paying a premium because of green energy initiatives. Although most businesses are not billed on TOU, similar price increases are occurring with Ontario businesses. While the electricity commodity price stays low, the overall bill is going up as other line items such as the GA increase.

     

    Current Ontario Electricity Generation Capacity

    •        Nuclear: 13,014 MW
    •        Gas: 9,907 MW
    •        Hydro (water): 8,841 MW
    •        Solar: 2,078 MW
    •        Wind: 3,908 MW
    •        Bio: 599 MW

    Projected Ontario Electricity Generation Capacity by 2020

    •        Nuclear: 11,311 MW
    •        Gas: 10,868 MW
    •        Hydro (water): 9,024 MW
    •        Solar: 3,851 MW
    •        Wind: 5,681 MW
    •        Bio: 659 MW

    (Source: Independent Electricity System Operator)

  • Natural Gas Prices Should Double

    A recent news item by Forbes begins with the statement “Natural Gas Prices Should Double Over The Next Year”. The article makes some good points:

    • Shale gas production has stopped growing and conventional natural gas has been declining for the past 15 years
    • There are currently only 92 rigs drilling for gas compared to 1600 rigs in 2008
    • The oil-field service industry is in disarray and will take time to recover
    • The March price for gas was the lowest CPI-adjusted price in 40 years
    • EIA’s supply forecast suggests that the surplus will become a deficit later in 2016

    Are we to believe the current bearish fundamentals, or the bullish prognosticators on the internet? We know from experience to expect the unexpected and that if everyone in the market believes the same thing, the opposite will usually happens. As far as price doubling, the current forward price for this coming winter is already almost double this summer’s price. The market has already adjusted for the longer term.

    The Fraser Institute recently published a report rating Ontario’s conservation initiatives. Ontario has spent millions on conservation programs and marketed heavily. Yes, there has been success in efficiencies and cleaner power generation (including the elimination of coal) but have the programs been financial successful?

    When conservation became a priority in Canada 15 years ago, Ontario was undersupplied and anticipating blackouts and brownouts. Action was required and conservation was a good place to start. At the time Ontario also had some of the lowest priced electricity compared to its neighbouring provinces and states. Fast forward to today, Ontario is now over supplied and has the highest priced power. Most of the increase results from Ontario’s sale of discount power to the U.S. while recovering the lost dollars from businesses through the global adjustment. High priced solar and wind have also contributed to a high GA. Green energy is the future but it must work financially as well to keep Ontario businesses competitive.